India’s footwear industry is expected to reach the pre-pandemic levels with a revenue growth of 8-to-10 per cent year-on-year in FY23.
However, domestic footwear players are likely to witness a muted performance in FY22 compared to pre-pandemic levels with reversion to pre-Covid levels expected by Q2FY23.
“While the recovery had been sharp in Q2FY22 and Q3FY22, the spread of Omicron variant poses downside risks and could potentially shave upto 10 per cent of the revenue in Q4FY22 compared to last fiscal…,” ratings agency ICRA said.
“… translating into an annual revenue growth of 20-25 per cent in FY22, which still remains almost 7-10 per cent lower compared to pre-Covid levels.”
According to ICRA, the financial position of large, listed footwear players is expected to remain strong with healthy on-balance sheet liquidity and low financial leverage.
“The companies are aggressively expanding in Tier 3 towns and rural areas through the franchisee route thus limiting own Capex requirements.”
“The credit metrics are expected to remain strong with interest coverage and total ‘Debt/OPBDITA of 6.5x and 1.7x’ respectively in FY22 compared to ‘4.2x and 2.4x’ respectively in FY21 and would improve further in FY23.”
Besides, the ratings agency said that the prices of major raw materials — Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) and Ethylene vinyl acetate (EVA) — have increased substantially in the last one year the impact of which was offset through price hikes to an extent.
It said that raw material prices, notwithstanding slight moderation in recent months, continue to remain high which if sustained would negatively impact profitability of footwear players in FY23.
“While cost rationalisation efforts, including rental concessions, would support margins to an extent, it is to be noted that the extent of concessions was markedly lower in the current fiscal, indicating limited headroom for further reduction in the fixed cost,” said Gaurav Singla, Assistant Vice President, ICRA.
“The higher raw material prices also impacted margins to an extent.We expect the operating margin to return to pre-Covid levels by Q2FY23 with improved scale.”